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The UK banks are preparing to defend their market against the same problems seen in the US sub-prime market.

Will the US situation hit the UK? Boulger of mortgage broker John Charcol does not think so. ‘But it is something the regulators will be taking into account. A lot of borrowers in the US were on short term ‘teaser’ rates and suffered payment shock when they moved to the standard rate.’

This is something that many UK consumers are being faced with. Despite the UK’s belief that their market is immune, there are parallels between the markets.

‘In the UK it is looking more and more likely that the Bank Base Rate will peak at 5.25%. I would put it at a 50-50 chance. Even if the economy does suffer because of what is happening in the US, we will be less susceptible to a downturn as we have lower exports to the States.

‘In addition we don’t have the same high proportion of sub-prime borrowers on 100% home loans. But if there is any tightening of lending criteria it is going to happen in the sub-prime and adverse markets,’ Boulger says.

Boulger believes that ‘the lenders have found that credit scoring is a very efficient predictor of those borrowers who will default,’ Boulger says. ‘You can never be certain, but I don’t think in the short-term what is happening in the US will affect lending criteria here.’

This is dividing the market into two segments, those who will strengthen the market by investing in property to build wealth, and those who will undermined it by borrowing mortgages which they cannot repay.